Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.000560 0.000641 0.000727 0.000826 0.000934 0.001050 0.001183
2025-07-20 0.000441 0.000554 0.000682 0.000839 0.001023 0.001231 0.001482
2025-07-27 0.000367 0.000492 0.000642 0.000832 0.001064 0.001336 0.001676
2025-08-03 0.000309 0.000439 0.000602 0.000817 0.001089 0.001418 0.001842
2025-08-10 0.000273 0.000409 0.000586 0.000826 0.001140 0.001529 0.002040
2025-08-17 0.000241 0.000380 0.000566 0.000827 0.001177 0.001621 0.002218
2025-08-24 0.000205 0.000340 0.000528 0.000801 0.001175 0.001660 0.002325
2025-08-31 0.000175 0.000306 0.000495 0.000776 0.001172 0.001697 0.002429
2025-09-07 0.000156 0.000286 0.000479 0.000774 0.001198 0.001770 0.002581
2025-09-14 0.000141 0.000269 0.000466 0.000774 0.001227 0.001847 0.002739
2025-09-21 0.000125 0.000250 0.000448 0.000765 0.001241 0.001904 0.002871
2025-09-28 0.000110 0.000230 0.000427 0.000751 0.001246 0.001948 0.002983
2025-10-05 0.000103 0.000225 0.000430 0.000772 0.001305 0.002068 0.003208
2025-10-12 0.000096 0.000217 0.000427 0.000785 0.001351 0.002173 0.003413
2025-10-19 0.000086 0.000204 0.000413 0.000779 0.001366 0.002232 0.003554
2025-10-26 0.000076 0.000188 0.000395 0.000765 0.001370 0.002273 0.003669
2025-11-02 0.000070 0.000181 0.000391 0.000773 0.001408 0.002367 0.003862
2025-11-09 0.000064 0.000173 0.000383 0.000774 0.001434 0.002443 0.004030
2025-11-16 0.000055 0.000157 0.000360 0.000749 0.001416 0.002450 0.004096
2025-11-23 0.000047 0.000143 0.000340 0.000726 0.001400 0.002460 0.004166
2025-11-30 0.000043 0.000135 0.000332 0.000723 0.001418 0.002522 0.004315
2025-12-07 0.000039 0.000129 0.000325 0.000724 0.001441 0.002592 0.004477
2025-12-14 0.000035 0.000121 0.000314 0.000716 0.001448 0.002638 0.004602